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Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Obama's Negative Bounce

Gallup has the race at 46-44 McCain, Rasmussen has a 46-46 tie. CNN/Gallup has it at 47-47 post-Biden.

Obama appears to have suffered a negative bounce from the Biden pick. And, from the first night, I don't see much of a convention bounce for him - Michelle Obama's speech was nice enough, but I don't see it convincing anyone.

Let's watch Hillary tonight, I suppose, an see where we are in a week.

Remember what I've said for a long time: Obama is going to lose big, in the end and, in retrospect, it will appear to have been obvious all along. When it's over, the media will act shocked and attribute it to racism - ground they're already beginning to prepare.

McCain's campaign is surging and Obama's is wilting at the right time. Where McCain hit back quickly and effectively on the housing issue - throwing Rezko back in Obama's face - Obama has horribly misplayed the Ayers issue.

55-45 McCain, I think is where this is going to end up. The momentum is all wrong and Obama is running out of time to change the game.

Posted by Adam T. Yoshida on August 26, 2008 in International Politics | Permalink

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Comments

Its too bad considering out of the two McCain is really the second choice, at least to all those who do not live in the US.

Posted by: Jalil | 2008-08-26 12:34:36 PM


Obama's economic protectionism would be great for the Canadian economy.

Posted by: Ike | 2008-08-26 12:41:10 PM


The only really "hot" moment of the opening night of the DNC was when the old war horse, Ted Kennedy, came onstage. Whatever his deficits--and there are lots and I'm no fan of Teddy-could-we-please-not-mention-Chappaquiddick Kennedy--he had fire in his belly and really knows how to deliver a stump speech.

As for Michelle Obama's "let us praise my husband, Barack"'s speech: It might have been more effective if she hadn't been Barry's wife. It's just plain tacky to have a spouse praise a spouse in public--and think that they're doing them any good. Was Michelle at all biased? Why should we believe what she says? What DIDN'T she tell us about her husband?

The whole evening was pretty lacklustre and then, after Michelle's speech, Obama got confused: "I'm in Kansas City...I'm in St. Louis...I'm in Kansas City..."

Well, Toto, we're definitely not in Kansas anymore...and I'm not sure Obama's in the race anymore.

I sure hope not.

Posted by: batb | 2008-08-26 12:54:31 PM


Michelle's speech was heavy on the self-reliance of her dad and mom. How, through hard work and dedication managed to get their kids college educated and very successful.

So what does Michelle mean when she says "all that has to change"?

It sound pretty perfect the way it is. If you want success in America, it's yours for the taking.

What's the problem?

There is nothing wrong with America that cleaning up the existing systems can't greatly improve and make a great country even better.

If it ain't broke ...

Posted by: John V | 2008-08-26 2:30:26 PM


There is nothing wrong with America that cleaning up the existing systems can't greatly improve and make a great country even better.
If it ain't broke ...
Posted by: John V | 26-Aug-08 2:30:26 PM

Yup, just keep increasing that line of credit from the Chinese to keep your economy going and you'll be like pigs in clover.

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-26 3:09:23 PM


Stig,

You are dwelling on the footnote of my larger comment which was that Michelle is talking out of both sides of her values. It was the American dream than her family lived. Obviously it works ... and the dream is alive and well. What's to change.

on the less significant point ... the one that you favor, you even missed the key point there as well.

"cleaning up the existing systems"

That would include it's monetary policies.

Posted by: John V | 2008-08-26 8:13:42 PM


If McCain wins it will prove the majority of Americans are simply clueless. Not even looking at a ski slope allows US citizens parallel the ski- sloped shaped graph detailing their swooning standard of living under Bush.

Posted by: Oh no, not again | 2008-08-26 8:22:18 PM


It was the American dream than her family lived. Obviously it works ... and the dream is alive and well. What's to change.
Posted by: John V | 26-Aug-08 8:13:42 PM

Unfortunately it's not quite a straight forward as that. Her father was a local Democratic gauleiter in Chicago and she has benefited from affirmative action programs throughout most of her career. One interesting point is that she has restricted until Nov.5 access to her Princeton thesis entitled, "Princeton-Educated Blacks and the Black Community, which from what I gather is largely a diatribe against white society and the I've- never-been-proud-of-my-country routine. Michelle Obama on closer examination is a creation of government policy not the American dream.

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-26 8:51:00 PM


Stig- I don't understand. I thought that once a thesis was published it was in the public domain. Did she buy up all of the copies?

Posted by: DML | 2008-08-26 11:08:59 PM


If McCain wins, it will show that Americans are not clueless zombies like Canadians who gladly usher in Marxists to take hold of their economy.

I am not a McCain fan, but good God, Obama wants to bankrupt oil companies to give $1000 to every American. Aiy yai yai.

McCain can win, as long as he doesn't do something stupid like nominate Bloomberg or Liebermann as his VP.

Posted by: Faramir | 2008-08-27 12:15:21 AM


Stig- I don't understand. I thought that once a thesis was published it was in the public domain. Did she buy up all of the copies?
Posted by: DML | 26-Aug-08 11:08:59 PM

Princeton Library is not issuing any copies until Nov.5

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-27 1:27:19 AM



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