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Friday, August 29, 2008

McCain is going to pick Sarah Palin

That's what I've been predicting on the radio for the last two weeks. Now the rumors are swirling.

Jill Zuckman with the Chicago Tribune's Washington Bureau cites an unnamed Republican source naming Sarah Palin, governor of Alaska, as McCain's choice for vice president. The Associated Press has a similar report.

McCain is in Dayton right now where he is expected to announce his choice today at a rally.

I think Palin would be an excellent pick. From what I've read, the former beauty queen is staunchly pro-life and very popular in Alaska. While she has not been governor long, the 44-year-old has at least as much executive experience as Obama. In addition, the fact that she's from Alaska should give McCain further credibility if/when he changes his mind about drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. Alaskans overwhelmingly support opening ANWR to drilling (consistently about 70 percent, according to the poll discussed here.)

Then there's the fact that picking a woman as his VP might allow McCain to siphon off additional disgruntled Hillary Clinton supporters.

As for flaws, Palin is involved in a teeny tiny non-scandal involving her former brother-in-law, a state trooper. I have a feeling this is not going to be an issue, should McCain make her his choice. For one thing, the brother-in-law seems to be something of a violent mad dog, and hardly a sympathetic character.

We shall see. McCain might still pick Mitt Romney and prove me wrong.

UPDATE:

CNN has learned from a "senior McCain campaign official" that it's going to be Palin. CNN's report also has other interesting information about the governor.

UPDATE:

Here's a picture of Sarah Palin. I think she's really cute.

Sarah_palin2

What the heck, another UPDATE:

Some people just made a chunk of money on Intrade. Palin's contract on Intrade -- a service that lets you buy and sell "shares" in future events -- never went higher than 20 dollars. Prior to today, it was running between 4 and 6 dollars. It's now up to 96.

You know, the next time I make a prediction, I should really put some money down. Grr!

Meanwhile, McCain's contract for winning the election on Intrade just shot up a few points, to 42. Obama's is still running much higher, though. The market seems to be saying that Palin was a good pick, but Obama is still going to win the election.

Posted by Terrence Watson on August 29, 2008 | Permalink

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Comments

My first impressions and instinct says that I like her. She looks totally real; not dowdy like Hillary or dolled up like Michelle or Cindy.

The best part is that I will now feel more confident when I vote against Obama.

Posted by: Rockmelon | 2008-08-29 9:29:14 AM


Rockmelon,

Your instincts match mine. I wonder how she'll look next to McCain, though.. it might emphasize his age a little too much.

Maybe. I'm not sure. This is shaping up to be an extremely interesting election.

Best,

Terrence

Posted by: Terrence Watson | 2008-08-29 9:34:52 AM


McCain/Palin 2008? I can live with that.

Imagine what Obama will say if he loses.

"G-ddamned white m-fers! How DARE you vote against me!" :)

Posted by: Zebulon Pike | 2008-08-29 9:36:05 AM


The only worry is her experience. Can she beat Biden in a debate?

Posted by: Johan i Kanada | 2008-08-29 10:29:34 AM


This candidate has no knowledge of geopolitics and no base to build that platform. She is a complete mismatch. This is all a ploy to snag the Dem's vote that would have gone to Hillary, or another effort to divide the Dem's at the very least. That is all this is. We all know now, that with Hillary on Obamas side this is the last thing that will get McCain more of those much needed swing votes.

Posted by: Derek | 2008-08-29 10:48:39 AM


This candidate has no knowledge of geopolitics and no base to build that platform. She is a complete mismatch. This is all a ploy to snag the Dem's vote that would have gone to Hillary, or another effort to divide the Dem's at the very least. That is all this is. We all know now, that with Hillary on Obamas side this is the last thing that will get McCain more of those much needed swing votes.

Posted by: Derek | 2008-08-29 10:48:50 AM


Sorry for the double post!

Posted by: Derek | 2008-08-29 10:49:45 AM


This is all a ploy to snag the Dem's vote that would have gone to Hillary, or another effort to divide the Dem's at the very least.
Posted by: Derek | 29-Aug-08 10:48:50 AM

Maybe that's why they call it politics? Just wondering.

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-29 10:56:31 AM


Regardless of how I feel about McPain, he sure knows how to pick'em. Looking at her is kind of the antidote for looking at Hillary.

Posted by: Condor | 2008-08-29 10:56:53 AM


>"This candidate has no knowledge of geopolitics and no base to build that platform."
Derek

Says who?



"We all know now, that with Hillary on Obamas side this is the last thing that will get McCain more of those much needed swing votes."
Derek | 29-Aug-08 10:48:50 AM

Hillary may be on Obama's side, but Hillary isn't AT Obama's side and she isn't the only female Senator or Congressman in the United States.

It may be a ploy to get the Dem female vote but ploys do work and success is what counts.

Posted by: Speller | 2008-08-29 11:21:16 AM


Here's a picture of Sarah Palin. I think she's really cute.
Posted by Terrence Watson on August 29, 2008

Yeah she's pretty good looking, unlike the main women in the Democratic Party, Hillary Clinton, Michelle Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Oprah Winfrey. Maybe that's why so many Democratic men are gay.

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-29 11:46:09 AM


Derek wrote: "This candidate has no knowledge of geopolitics and no base to build that platform."

Neither do Hillary and Obama, both being rookie senators with delusions of grandeur and gifts for embellishing their past achievements. Palin is an honest-to-God state governor, elected to lead, rather than to simply represent. The fact that she seems instantly personable is also an asset, comparing favourably to Hillary's well-documented, narcissistic nastiness.

Derek wrote: "We all know now, that with Hillary on Obamas side this is the last thing that will get McCain more of those much needed swing votes."

On the contrary, it just might work. While there won't be a female President this election, a female Vice-President is a worthy consolation prize. Hillary can't promise a woman in the White House this time round, but Palin can. Many of those who supported Hillary for her gender alone will no doubt go for it. If you can't have the chocolate, vanilla is still miles better than a bare, empty cone.

Posted by: Shane Matthews | 2008-08-29 12:01:28 PM


She looks so innocent and honest, and a hockey Mom to boot. The system will eat her alive.
Or with a little luck, she'll be really tough and stick to her ethics, and maybe make a difference.

Posted by: JC | 2008-08-29 12:02:54 PM


What a relief. It is not Liebermann or Tom Ridge. I'm surprised that Intrade got it wrong.

Posted by: Faramir | 2008-08-29 1:10:21 PM


Faramir, I'm surprised about Intrade, too. In a way, it speaks to the discipline of McCain's team, since if there had been any leaks, however obscure, the price would have gone up earlier.

Intrade was solidly behind Biden at least a day or two before the announcement, as I recall (like 70, I think.)

Terrence

Posted by: Terrence Watson | 2008-08-29 1:25:44 PM


Stig wrote: "Yeah she's pretty good looking, unlike the main women in the Democratic Party, Hillary Clinton, Michelle Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Oprah Winfrey. Maybe that's why so many Democratic men are gay."

I have observed that the uglier the woman, the greater the chance she hates men. Which is strange, because don't today's liberated, high-powered women need a man like a fish needs a bicycle?

Posted by: Shane Matthews | 2008-08-29 1:27:13 PM


Shane: I'm surprised at you. Michelle Obama is a beautiful woman.

Terrence: I haven't had a chance to really dig into Sarah Palin's background (the most research I did was when I followed up a comment on Adam Yoshida's post here: http://westernstandard.blogs.com/shotgun/2008/08/vice-president.html#comments )

But my initial impressions are very, very good. She seems like a genuine small government conservative, a very rare kind of conservative these days.

Posted by: P.M. Jaworski | 2008-08-29 2:02:26 PM


Jaws,

She killed the "bridge to nowhere." You know how I feel about government waste, so that's kind of a plus in my book.

She does seem like a small government conservative, maybe someone who could convince some of the libertarians to come back into the Republican camp.

And she's just so darn likable. On a lefty blog I read, someone called her "Mike Huckabee in a dress" because she is staunchly pro-life (and a creationist, apparently.)

There's some truth in that, and it's not the insult that poster intended it to be. In a way, Huckabee in a dress is what McCain needed to shore up his base and make his campaign more interesting and engaging.

Heh. And his pick swept Obama's speech from last night off the media radar. That wouldn't have happened if he'd picked someone he was expected to pick.

Best,

Terrence


Posted by: Terrence Watson | 2008-08-29 2:12:26 PM


If you'll read what I actually said, P.M., I never said anything about Michelle Obama's appearance. I merely made a general observation in response to Stig's observation that Democratic women are usually ugly.

I share your opinion about Michelle Obama's beauty, and for that matter Oprah isn't unattractive either. Even Hillary would be good-looking if she had any warmth but, alas, her face is a frozen mask of wax that always looks ready to shatter.

I do sympathize with the spirit of Stig's general sentiment, if not the letter (or his taste in women). In my experience feminists and lesbians are noticeably more likely to be unattractive. I cannot guess as to the reason why, unless there's something to the idea that, all their protestations to the contrary notwithstanding, most women need the appreciation of a man or men in order to feel whole.

Posted by: Shane Matthews | 2008-08-29 2:54:43 PM


Michelle Obama is a beautiful woman.
Posted by: P.M. Jaworski | 29-Aug-08 2:02:26 PM

All cats are grey in the dark. Thanks to Ian Fleming for that one.

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-29 3:10:13 PM


and for that matter Oprah isn't unattractive either
Posted by: Shane Matthews | 29-Aug-08 2:54:43 PM

You're right she isn't unattractive, she's downright ugly.

http://bp1.blogger.com/_j-b8tmhvMoo/Ry11NSThlCI/AAAAAAAABms/fbGghy1Jenw/s1600-h/The_color_purple_oprah_winfrey.jpg

Posted by: The Stig | 2008-08-29 3:36:31 PM


Stig wrote: "You're right she isn't unattractive, she's downright ugly."

But:

http://www.people.com/people/oprah_winfrey

You're not racist, Stig, by any chance? Frankly, I think she's better-looking than Michelle, although Michelle arguably has the better body.

How did we come to be objectifying women?

Posted by: Shane Matthews | 2008-08-29 3:39:48 PM


"Looking at her is kind of the antidote for looking at Hillary.", says Condor.

What about her new boss ?
This sob is so ugly the liquid crystals of my new tv are boiling. She has red eyes and my heart always fall for those red eyes' girls.

When this happen, my head keep on working so I keep in mind she works for neocons, just like the others.

Some bring her lack of experience on the table but who cares really?
Liebermann and others will whisper all the answer her and her boss need anyway.

Posted by: Marc | 2008-08-29 3:50:55 PM


I just heard Sarah Palin's debut v.p. speech and she sounds awesome. Brains and beauty what a mix! She is economically and socially conservative. She has cut government spending and fought corruption. She is pro-life, pro-2nd amendment, pro-drilling, and pro-tax cuts. As governor, she has had more governing experience then either Biden or Obama. Neither Obama or Biden has ever governed a state or managed a business. They are simply legislators and Obama has done very little of that. Could Palin be America's Margaret Thatcher(the Iron Lady)?

Posted by: JimmyT | 2008-08-29 4:05:19 PM


maybe she's there to keep mccains ticker going. On other sites they're saying she'll steal hillarys voters, and that will be a bonus to the Male voters switching sides and reviving the mccain hating conservatives. maybe johnnymcc will become another slick willy.

Posted by: reg dunlop | 2008-08-29 7:11:16 PM


This is funny. Some of you guys are afraid to call a black woman ugly. You're way more racist than the stig.

Posted by: dp | 2008-08-29 7:22:55 PM


I'll only call a black woman ugly if she really is ugly, DP. And you know me well enough by now to know I'm not afraid to call ANYONE ugly.

Posted by: Shane Matthews | 2008-08-29 7:47:23 PM


Terrence, someone lost lots of money on Intrade. In a way I am glad Intrade got it wrong, so maybe it will get it wrong about Obama winning too?

Posted by: Faramir | 2008-08-29 8:52:06 PM


Anyone who can take on big oil, cut back on pork barrel politics and clean out corruption can certainly learn to handle foreign policy. Part of good leadership is learning how to delegate and respecting the advisors that you pick. She'll do all right in a debate against Biden who has some skeltons in his closet.

Posted by: DML | 2008-08-29 10:48:30 PM


My apologies, Shane, I meant to address my comment to Stig, not you.

I don't know about Oprah... Sometimes she's an attractive woman, sometimes she isn't. I haven't made up my mind.

Meanwhile, Obama is handsome, while McCain is ugly.

Apart from Palin's appearance, Matthew's post has me hoping that she'll turn out to have good policies as well. We'll see when news comes out about her foreign policy, and her social policies. I'm confident that her stance on guns, drilling, and fiscal issues are rock-solid. Let's hope her pro-freedom credentials are deep.

(It doesn't matter too much, however, since McCain is a policy disaster. And Palin isn't exactly going to have much influence).

Posted by: P.M. Jaworski | 2008-08-30 1:12:05 AM



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