The Shotgun Blog
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
It's Over - McCain is the GOP Nominee
McCain won Florida. It looks like he's going to win bigger than indicated by polling. Seven or eight points is my guess.
Now comes word that Giuliani will endorse him tomorrow in California.
John McCain is, without a miracle for Romney on a bigger scale than McCain's own comeback (and in a single week) going to be the Republican nominee for President of the United States and, given how well he polls - and how ugly the Democratic race is getting - I'd say that McCain is now the odds-on favourite to be the 44th President of the United States.
TrackBack URL for this entry:
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference It's Over - McCain is the GOP Nominee:
Say it ain't so...there goes the neighborhood!
Posted by: Markalta | 2008-01-29 8:11:51 PM
Last week on "The Hour" David Frum said that the Republicans' chance of winning the election was extremely slim and then said, "We could very easily see a situation where the Democrats have expanded majorities in both houses of congress and a Democratic President with a real majority."
You need to drink a LOT of Kool-Aid to think McCain is the "odds-on favourite".
Posted by: Fact Check | 2008-01-29 8:31:14 PM
McCain is doing what Bob Dole did in 1996 - it was his turn to be the Republican candidate at a time when they couldn't possibly win. Look forward to President Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton come November.
Posted by: Zebulon Pike | 2008-01-29 8:35:16 PM
Adam, you are setting yourself up!
It's not over til its over. Lots can change on Super Tuesday.
Posted by: epsilon | 2008-01-29 8:36:23 PM
Yeah, they are at what 10% of delegates? It's hardly over yet, though I do believe that the left is pushing McCain pretty hard. Who knows, he could beat Hillary. A lot of independents and Dems who hate her would probably vote for McCain.
Posted by: Markalta | 2008-01-29 11:40:03 PM
Well, I'm pretty sure of it. Indeed, I've got a pretty fair-sized bet on it which I think will be paying off.
There's a flow to these things - a point at which someone becomes pretty much inevitable. I think that McCain, with Giuliani's endorsement, will be past that point.
Posted by: Adam Yoshida | 2008-01-30 12:14:24 AM
Well as a bet, you're in the drivers seat, so you may be right. What kind of odds would you give me on Romney? :)
Posted by: Markalta | 2008-01-30 8:55:52 AM
Probably 4:1, at least.
Posted by: Adam Yoshida | 2008-01-30 6:50:18 PM
The comments to this entry are closed.