The Shotgun Blog
Saturday, September 01, 2007
Hurricane rate has declined
Al Gore is coming to Victoria at the end of the month. If he's lucky, the city will be hit by a typhoon and it'll give him something to talk about. He sure can't talk about the calamitous hurricane seasons his myth-u-mentary film predicted for the Atlantic region, because they simply didn't materialize.
This year's season, for example, has been described as coming in like a lion and out like a lamb. In fact, hurricanes have materialized at only half the current rate so far this season. Last year? There were 17% fewer hurricanes than averge. Inconvient truths, eh?
Here's a solid, year-old column from Down Under that does a good job of deflating Gore's hot-air balloon.
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There was a time, long ago, when I had empathy for and positive interest in Al Gore as a political leader in America.
What captured my attention was his wife's efforts in talking about and criticizing the raunchy lyrics of popular music targetted at children and young people.
Al Gore was supportive and "behind" this issue as a dimension of his candidacy and public service.
It went nowhere (that's not true, some legislation, I'm sure was developed, but the body of popular opinion didn't focus effectively, and a big part of the culture war was lost by America).
I believe that "quality" or connection of Al Gore to something which was actually valid, made him attractive to Bill Clinton as a foil, to help the Clinton's cast a wider and thicker haze over their own long record of corruption, deceit and actual moral turpitude.
I wonder what Gore's wife thinks about the Man Made Global Warming "issue"? She was a normal attractive young woman (I think they have kids).
Posted by: Conrad-USA | 2007-09-01 10:13:11 AM
Sure they have kids. One was arrested last month for doing a 100 m.p.h. in his Prius, laden with drugs.
Posted by: obc | 2007-09-01 11:50:55 AM
I guess Terry posted this before the news of Hurricane Felix came out. Hold on to your hats, there's months left in the season.
Posted by: munroe | 2007-09-01 3:18:01 PM
O/T Scandanavian Cartoons round 2
I had thought this story might have warranted its own thread here at the Shotgun
For those who would like to see the evidence:
Posted by: Brent Weston | 2007-09-01 3:40:21 PM
Bottom line folks, we have to ban humans to save the earth. All the pooping and breathing has to stop.Maybe we need more Puffins, they're clean birds according to Ignatieff, because they hide their s**t. It's still around but it's hidden, perfect for the Liberals but the stink gives them away.
Posted by: LizJ | 2007-09-01 3:58:27 PM
Last year, they predicted 15 hurricanes. The number that hit the North American coasts? ZERO!
This year, the prediction is for 12. With more than half the season gone, the number that hit is: ONE!
More are possible, of course, but 12 at this point is VERY unlikely.
So much for Globull Warming increasing the number of hurricanes. There were many more each season in the 1930's and 1940's.
Posted by: obc | 2007-09-01 4:12:26 PM
Actually most long range global climate predicting will never be very accurate (ie nonexistant), because they do not/cannot take into account the latent heat content of the oceans.
As far as I know, all their calculations are done using sensible heat measurements.
But it is great fun to see them making fools of themselves.
And enticing politicians to do likewise.
Posted by: rockyt | 2007-09-01 5:14:24 PM
. . . and the union thugs that swallow their every lie.
Posted by: obc | 2007-09-01 5:17:30 PM
I think the Puffin reference cancels out the CRAP acronym from a few years back.
Posted by: Zebulon Pike | 2007-09-01 5:18:48 PM
My bet is that Gore will not spend much time talking about hurricanes in BC. I think he will talk about the pine beetle.
He will claim the the beetle infestation is happening because winter is no longer cold enough to kill the beetles. I bet he will not spend much time explaining why Oregon and Washington are not so badly affected (better yet, why their forests were not de3stroyed years ago.)
My intuition is that the pine beetle is an environmental catastrophe. And responsibility for the catastrophe lies most squarely on the shoulders of environmentalists who were slow to allow increases in the cut rate in beetle-infested woods.
I'm lazy! Someone help me check my intuition with facts.
Posted by: pete e | 2007-09-03 1:02:57 AM
With all of the climate fluctuations in the weather the past few years both sides are going to spin the changes to agree with their views. The global warming trend, whether man-made or natural, has gotten way out of hand for the last century for us to reverse the process. The only thing that can be done is to take suppressive measures to slow down the trend, which is just a waste of money, in my opinion.
Secondly, the changes to greener technology should ideally be done in the free market through innovation of new technologies, instead of forcing it on us through the government. Examples such as the Kyoto Accord come to mind.
Posted by: Edmontonian | 2007-09-03 3:44:12 AM
By the way, I'm the queen of rightwing trolls.
Posted by: LezJ | 2007-09-03 10:50:57 AM
I don't know if humans are contributing to global warming.
I don't know if mankind can help slow the process.
I don't know if we should try to reverse the trend.
I don't know if cutting greenhouse emissions will have an effect.
I do know that nothing at all will ever be done to change our way of life.
Other than a bunch of rich, brainwashed celebrities, no one is going to significantly change his habits.
Nobody cares if Africa has a drought. They always have a drought.
I'm going to rebuild a 67 Impala with a 427 engine and a 4 speed before gas gets too expensive. It seems like the right thing to do for me and my sons.
Why should they be deprived of the experience of knowing what good old American know how can provide to those who actually worked for it.
I love these mild winters.
Posted by: dph | 2007-09-03 5:26:22 PM
And now it seems the Brits are getting it:
"Public 'wary of green tax motives'"
Nearly two-thirds of the public believe ministers are using environmental fears as an excuse to raise tax revenue, according to a poll.
And research suggests their cynicism is justified - with green taxes raking in £10 billion more for the Treasury than it would cost to offset the entire UK's carbon footprint.
The figures are contained in a dossier compiled by pressure group the TaxPayers' Alliance (TPA).
The document is likely to provide grim reading for politicians of all colours - including Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Tory leader David Cameron - who are committed to making individuals pay for habits which damage the environment.
A survey carried out by YouGov for the TPA found that only a fifth of people thought politicians were genuinely trying to change behaviours using the tax system. In contrast, 63% believed they were using the issue as an excuse to pull in more cash.
Posted by: obc | 2007-09-03 7:06:44 PM
I'm afraid it might be impossible to de-rail this Al Gore freight train. It doesn't matter how ridiculous a statement is, if you say it enough times to enough people it will eventually become fact. (or religion).
I actually watched a half hour of Gore's movie. He used a power point to show pictures of animals disappearing as though they became extinct. To my astonishment one of the pictures was a Seal! I wonder if anyone in Victoria is worried about seals becoming extinct. If only he had the balls to go to Newfoundland with his gong show.
Posted by: dph | 2007-09-03 7:42:06 PM
In the age of the Internet, it is becoming far more difficult to pull the wool over the eyes of the people.
Only if we give up without a fight will the lying Gore/Suzuki win.
Posted by: obc | 2007-09-03 7:51:47 PM
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