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Wednesday, June 30, 2004

Next election

Earlier Damian Penny asked for predictions when the next election will be. He said 15 months. Bob Tarantino says it will be two years. It will be at least that. While everyone has their eyes on the Liberal-NDP seat total, the Bloc are just, if not more likely to prop up a Liberal government for two reasons. 1) Like the Liberals and NDP, the Bloc is left-of-centre on economic issues and 2) the Bloc is not likely to increase its seat totals and may, in fact, lose some if the Conservatives show that they are not scary in opposition and as the memory of Adscam fades. If the Bloc were to lose seats in the next federal election it takes the wind out of the sovereignty sails.

Posted by Paul Tuns on June 30, 2004 in Canadian Politics | Permalink

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Comments

Exactly the points I made over at my blog as well, that the BQ is likely to support the Libs for those two reasons. Sigh...I hope we aren't right.

Posted by: Steve Martinovich | 2004-07-01 1:30:39 AM



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