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Saturday, February 23, 2008
How the presidential race looks this weekend
The Republicans: MSM keeps trying to tar John McCain, and keeps missing. In fact, they may have inadvertently helped him:
The firm at the center of all this (Paxson Communications) were the folks behind the PAX-TV, which at the time was setting itself up as the evangelical cable network. The Times‘ article has already led many right-wingers to come to McCain’s defense; as more evangelicals become aware that McCain is being beaten up by MSM for his efforts on behalf of PAX, he may finally break through to the one constituency that hasn’t fully warmed up to him during the primary season.
In other words: MSM may have aimed for McCain, but they actually hit Mike Huckabee.
The Democrats: Don't go ordering those Obama-??? buttons just yet:
The conventional wisdom is now proclaiming Senator Clinton’s campaign for President to be all but over . . . After all, yesterday’s Post poll put the race between Clinton and Obama even in Texas (Clinton’s lead is within the margin of error), while Obama is within seven points of her in Ohio. The analysis looks simple: one more push and Clinton loses Texas (and perhaps Ohio) and she is done.
In reality, things are very different, and here’s why.
There are no more pushes left: Between today and March 4 (primary day in Texas and Ohio), the number of primaries on the Democratic side is a big, round, and fat zero - meaning no more victories Obama can use for momentum, no more contests for him to exploit with 45-minute victory speeches, and no more Clinton concession-but-not-really speeches (when she looks and sounds her worst). The Clinton campaign has hit its national nadir, yet she is still ahead in Ohio (significantly) and Texas (insignificantly). We now have a pause for the next week and a half, giving Clinton time to bring her organization to bear on these critical states.
Meanwhile, here comes Ralph Nader (AP):
Ralph Nader could be poised for another third party presidential campaign.
The consumer advocate will appear on NBC's "Meet the Press" on Sunday to announce whether he will launch another White House bid. Nader kicked off his 2004 presidential run on the show.
The 2008 presidential race will be many things. Boring isn't one of them.
Posted by D.J. McGuire on February 23, 2008 in International Politics | Permalink
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Posted by: poetryman69 | 23-Feb-08 5:59:56 PM
DJ: "There are no more pushes left"
Don't be so sure about that. Viz: "Superdelegates Are Flocking to Obama" ( http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080223/D8V007M80.html ). If the trickle becomes a stream, then there might well be a push from it.
Posted by: Fact Check | 23-Feb-08 6:11:00 PM
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