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Monday, April 11, 2005
To go or not to go?
This is the question that Stephen Harper faced late last night when he received the latest EKOS polling numbers.
From the Toronto Star no less:
Stephen Harper would become PM if vote held today
Liberals in freefall after devastating Gomery testimony
The pollster found that only 25 per cent of respondents nationwide would vote today for the Liberals, compared to 36.2 per cent for the Conservatives.
In Ontario, the Conservatives now lead with 40 per cent of the vote. The Liberals are at 33 per cent.
Stephen Harper will undoubtedly ask himself whether the time is right for Canadians to go to the polls or whether the testimony is only about to get worse. If Harper starts with such a large margin, the election will be his to lose. However, whether you're wearing partisan blinders or not, it is difficult to see how the Conservatives could lose such a margin given the latest damning testimony coming from the Gomery commission.
The Bloc is ready to go. Will Stephen Harper support their non-confidence motion that is surely coming soon?
[cross-posted to stephentaylor.ca]
Posted by Stephen Taylor on April 11, 2005 | Permalink
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Comments
Thank you, Frank Graves. After years of systematically downplaying Reform / Alliance / Conservative support, and trashing us them as outside of the "mainstream" (e.g. the received opinion of the Globe readers of Yorkville), has finally woken up and smelled the capuccino. Sorry, though, you still won't get your multimillion dollar polling contracts when the Tories form a majority government.
Posted by: MC | 2005-04-11 4:39:13 AM
Let's do it.
Forget waiting another month for the commission to finish its hearings. Let's go now. The commission is still doing its work, giving us the chance to campaign against the backdrop of daily revelations of Liberal theft and sleaze. If Harper's got the killer instinct, he brings this government down on Thursday.
Posted by: Taka | 2005-04-11 5:43:51 AM
Would the Gomery Commission continue during a campaign?
Posted by: Occam's Carbuncle | 2005-04-11 7:48:20 AM
That's a good question OC, I've been wondering the same. Anybody know the definitive answer?
Posted by: Tony | 2005-04-11 7:55:13 AM
According to Francois Perreault, only if the government specifically decrees that it stop.
Posted by: Occam's Carbuncle | 2005-04-11 9:07:13 AM
Thanks for the data point, OC. That does make it interesting, doesn't it.
Posted by: Tony | 2005-04-11 9:12:26 AM
In other words, Canadians are not going to ever find out what happened because the Conservatives are using the Gomery Commission as an election prop.
I think that the Tories are actually afraid that the Gomery Commission is going to find a rather small and localized problem, and their chance to smear the Liberals is "now or never".
Posted by: Joe Green | 2005-04-11 9:42:50 AM
Joe Green said - their chance to smear the Liberals is "now or never".
"now or never" ? Why not simply now or never? Why not "now" or "never"? Or how about now "or" never? Or NOW OR NEVER? Or "Joe" "Green" has "lost" his "mind"? """ """ """
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Posted by: jhuck | 2005-04-11 11:39:18 AM
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